BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Elkader Central
Class: 1A Class Rank: 39 Conference: (8-11) Overall: (12-14) Overall Strength = 52.52
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2004 Home W 54.00 54 48 1A 49 ( 8-14) Edgewood-Colesburg 1.48 4.52
2 12/03/2004 Away W 63.83 48 40 2A 71 ( 7-14) Arlington Starmont 11.30 -3.30
3 12/07/2004 Away W * 69.60 57 56 2A 27 (18- 6) Sumner SF 17.07 -16.07
4 12/10/2004 Home W * 58.38 60 47 1A 68 ( 6-17) Maynard West Central 5.86 7.14
5 12/14/2004 Away L * 48.59 40 64 2A 15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge -3.94 -20.06
6 12/17/2004 Home W * 51.18 52 49 2A 88 ( 5-17) Monona MFL MarMac -1.34 4.34
7 12/21/2004 Away L * 40.83 44 64 1A 20 (13-10) Elgin Valley -11.70 -8.30
8 01/04/2005 Away W * 54.73 35 34 1A 48 ( 6-16) Postville 2.20 -1.20
9 01/07/2005 Away L * 40.61 61 65 1A 73 (10-12) Lansing Kee -11.91 7.91
10 01/14/2005 Away W * 51.72 61 58 1A 68 ( 6-17) Maynard West Central -0.80 3.80
11 01/15/2005 Away L 49.42 56 64 2A 68 (11-12) North Linn -3.10 -4.90
12 01/18/2005 Home L * 51.89 56 59 2A 63 (10-10) North Fayette -0.64 -2.36
13 01/25/2005 Home L * 52.25 48 65 2A 15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge -0.28 -16.72
14 01/28/2005 Away W * 67.35 61 51 2A 65 ( 6-16) South Winneshiek 14.83 -4.83
15 01/29/2005 Away L * 41.30 48 72 2A 37 (14- 9) Turkey Valley -11.22 -12.78 was 01/21/05 now 01/29/05
16 01/31/2005 Home L * 45.39 37 42 1A 48 ( 6-16) Postville -7.14 2.14 was 01/11/05 now 01/31/05
17 02/04/2005 Home L * 46.48 41 52 1A 20 (13-10) Elgin Valley -6.04 -4.96
18 02/08/2005 Away L * 45.52 51 57 2A 88 ( 5-17) Monona MFL MarMac -7.00 1.00
19 02/11/2005 Home L * 54.25 36 47 2A 27 (18- 6) Sumner SF 1.73 -12.73
20 02/15/2005 Home L 59.33 54 58 3A 30 (13- 9) Waukon 6.81 -10.81
21 02/18/2005 Home L * 32.27 50 59 1A 73 (10-12) Lansing Kee -20.25 11.25
22 02/21/2005 Home W * 51.39 52 51 1A 48 ( 6-16) Postville -1.14 2.14
23 02/23/2005 Home W 58.00 70 60 1A 49 ( 8-14) Edgewood-Colesburg 5.48 4.52
24 02/28/2005 Home W * 58.48 52 51 1A 20 (13-10) Elgin Valley 5.96 -4.96
25 03/02/2005 Neutral W 60.54 46 43 1A 21 (16- 8) Dunkerton 8.02 -5.02
26 03/05/2005 Neutral L 58.28 83 86 1A 17 (18- 8) Sheffield SCMT 5.75 -8.75
Averages 52.52 52.0 55.5
Best game: 69.60 = 1 point win over Sumner-Fredericksburg
Worst game: 32.27 = 9 point loss to Lansing Kee
Team stdev: 8.66